Liverpool have an incredible home record so far this season: 10 clean sheets in 11 home matches (only Chelsea have managed to score) which has resulted in 9 home wins (only Man U (0-0) and Chelsea (1-4) taking anything). With Birmingham losing 7 of their last 8 away the home win looks value even as low as 1/3 best price at Corals, if you like to take such bets.
I think there is better value though in backing the unders at 17/20 (Bet365, Spodds, VC Bet). Birmingham have failed to score in 7 out of 11 away and it almost becomes a question of Will Liverpool score 3 or more? The Reds have managed to score more than 2 goals on only 2 occassions at home (Portsmouth and Wigan) . No doubting how bad Birmingham's away record is, but their away matches have only gone over twice: a 3-2 win at West Brom and a 4-1 defeat at Man City. None of their away games at the top teams so far: Arsenal (1-0), Chelsea (2-0) or Tottenham (2-0) went over. So, again, if you like backing at odds below evens I reckon the unders look excellent value at 17/20.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
2 comments:
ouch. backed liverpool and unders, thought it was nailed on. all those clean sheets and they can't keep one against ten man birmingham. oh well, at least the unders came in. keep it goin m8
One thing you quickly learn is that nothing is ever nailed on. That is certainly a surprise result though. I am pleased you took the unders to soften the blow.
Post a Comment