Prem 6th April

Man City (13th, 17th) v Charlton (18th, 19th)
Match is VITAL for both.
Charlton have clawed their back and have a great chance of staying up now. Only 1 pt behind Sheff Utd and 5 other teams within 6 pts. Man City are one of them and a win here will see them move to 39 points, 1 away from the usual 40 required to stay up.

Form Guide
City have lost 6/ last 7 at home and have failed to score in last 4. Since Pardew took over Charlton have lost at both Man U and Arsenal, drawn at Bolton and Watford and won at Portsmouth.

Not much to say about the history here as managers have changed recently.
UM: Lay City @ 1.90 (2.10). (would have won, but got nowhere near the price I wanted)
Bet: Charlton to score last goal @ 2.50 (spodds) Lost (0-0)
City conceded last in 13/19 home games last season and in their last 6 at home this season. Charlton under Pardew have scored last in 3/5, failing at Man U and Arsenal.

Everton (7th, 9th) v Fulham (15th, 15th)
Match is VITAL for both.
Everton are still in the mix for a UEFA Cup place and therefore have plenty left to play for. Fulham are only 5 pts from the drop with 7 games to play and will want to pull away from them as quickly as possible.

Everton have 7 HT wins at home from 15 this season, Fulham 7 losses from 15 away. Everton led in 2 of last 3 seasons at HT (2-0, 0-0, 3-0)

Everton have won this fixture 5x on the bounce now.

Bet: Andrew Johnson to score @ 2.5 (expekt) Lost, no goals for AJ in a 4-1 win.
Just when I thought that the bookies never offered value in this market, expekt go way out of line with their price. AJ has scored in 7/12 home matches this season and in 3/ last 4. Fulham have conceded 31 goals away this season, only 2 cleans sheets. Kept a clean sheet last time out at Wigan and have not kept consecutive cs away in the Prem since April 2004. Most bookies are offering 2.2 for AJ to score which looks about right.